WP 5.4 Development and application of specific tools for Energy Security in the Nuclear Sector (Upstream and transport)

Objectives

• The main objective of the task is to develop assessment methodology of energy security supply in nuclear energy sector, elaborate state-of-the-art analysis methods for nuclear energy scenarios, and evaluate geopolitical, EU and national political, technical, economic and regulatory influence to security of nuclear energy supply.
• Development and testing of a tool to evaluate all possible influence to the nuclear energy security supply in terms of technical issues including any type of disturbances and economical-political uncertainties.
• Application of the sensitivity and uncertainty analysis for the development of the models and testing simulations.

Participants: LEI, JRC, PSI, GRCF 

Description of work

A methodology and specialised analytical tools for modelling of nuclear sector in order to analyse security issues within the sector will be developed. The methodology will be based on economic modelling tools, application of probabilistic risk assessment (in cooperation with WP5.7) as well as sensitivity and uncertainty analysis. The upstream chain of nuclear fuel, including transportation, consequences caused by various disturbances having impact to security of nuclear energy supply, generation and further analysis of various events scenarios will be investigated. Security analysis will take into account economic, regulatory, geopolitical and technical issues. The elaborated methods and tools will allow analysis of security issues in a wider perspective than the nuclear sector alone. These methods will be suitable for preparation of necessary information for the models and tools dealing with global assessment of security of energy supply developed in other work-packages.

Task 1: Geopolitical Issues

Lead: LEI; GRCF, JRC

An analysis of geopolitical issues relevant to the upstream nuclear fuel cycle and transport taking into account resource allocation, location of enrichment, fabrication and other facilities for preparation of nuclear fuel, transportation routes of nuclear fuel and relevant materials. Elaboration of methods and tools will allow quantifying information related to these issues in order to use it further for preparation of common tools and evaluation of security aspects in nuclear sector.